Jump to ContentJump to Main Navigation
Anticipating a Nuclear IranChallenges for U.S. Security$
Users without a subscription are not able to see the full content.

Robert Pfaltzgraff and Jacquelyn Davis

Print publication date: 2013

Print ISBN-13: 9780231166225

Published to Columbia Scholarship Online: November 2015

DOI: 10.7312/columbia/9780231166225.001.0001

Show Summary Details
Page of

PRINTED FROM COLUMBIA SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (www.columbia.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) Copyright University of Minnesota Press, 2021. All Rights Reserved. An individual user may print out a PDF of a single chapter of a monograph in CUPSO for personal use.date: 17 September 2021

Considerations Influencing Iran’s Nuclear Emergence

Considerations Influencing Iran’s Nuclear Emergence

(p.56) 3 Considerations Influencing Iran’s Nuclear Emergence
Anticipating a Nuclear Iran

Jacquelyn K. Davis

Robert L. Pfaltzgraff

Columbia University Press

This chapter examines Iran's nuclear ambitions as they relate to its foreign policy objectives, domestic political considerations, and role in the Islamic world. Iran's efforts to develop nuclear technologies are based on several interrelated motivations and considerations, which in turn will influence the scope and nature of Iran's nuclear posture if the decision is made to cross the nuclear threshold. There is an underlying premise that nuclear energy is essential to enable Iran to meet future domestic energy needs. Nuclear weapons may also be viewed as a means to ensure regime survival against international and domestic enemies. And as nations reconsider their own security options in the changed political landscape of the wider Middle East, Iran can be expected to push even harder to exert its influence. This chapter considers how Iran's weaponization will evolve and for what purposes, and the implications for the way in which the United States's defense and deterrence planning should proceed. The analysis is based on three heuristic models of a nuclear Iran: a Defensive Iran, an Aggressive Iran, and an Unstable Iran.

Keywords:   foreign policy, Iran, nuclear weapons, security, Middle East, United States, deterrence, Defensive Iran, Aggressive Iran, Unstable Iran

Columbia Scholarship Online requires a subscription or purchase to access the full text of books within the service. Public users can however freely search the site and view the abstracts and keywords for each book and chapter.

Please, subscribe or login to access full text content.

If you think you should have access to this title, please contact your librarian.

To troubleshoot, please check our FAQs, and if you can't find the answer there, please contact us .